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Flash·Policy & Regulation·2026-10-18 08:28

Anthropic Co-Founder: Internal Model Forecasts US GDP Could Hit $44 Trillion by 2030

On Oct 17, Anthropic co-founder Jack Clark told the IMF and World Bank annual meetings in Bangkok that rapidly improving AI capabilities are accelerating change across every field, and that one of the company's internal economic models forecasts US economic output could expand to $44 trillion by 2030. He also called for international cooperation to build "unusual and serious rules" for the transformative technology.

HIMIAO Horizon·2026-10-18 08:28·1 min read

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Glowing growth curve rising over a city skyline
AI model forecasts US GDP reaching $44 trillion by 2030

What happened

Clark said in his remarks that AI is vastly increasing scientific discovery, and that the internal model's forecast rests on the technology continuing to get better. Reuters reported the $44 trillion forecast compares with a current US GDP level of just over $30 trillion.

"I know, but it's implicated by the technology continuing to get better. And if GDP were to grow this much, then economic doctrine suggests that new industries and inventions would need to have been created to power such a major economic expansion."

— Jack Clark (Anthropic co-founder, IMF/World Bank annual meetings, Oct 17)

Beyond the economic forecast, Clark said international cooperation is needed to erect "unusual and serious rules" for the transformative technology.

Key facts

  1. Venue: IMF and World Bank annual meetings, Bangkok, Oct 17
  2. Forecast: US GDP of $44 trillion by 2030, vs just over $30 trillion today
  3. Model: One of Anthropic's internal economic models
  4. Call: International cooperation on "unusual and serious rules" for the technology

Why it matters

a frontier AI lab has publicly disclosed its internal economic model's 2030 GDP forecast ($44 trillion vs just over $30 trillion today) for the first time — placing it on the IMF/World Bank annual meetings agenda.
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SourcesReuters (Oct 17, 2026, https://www.reuters.com/world/china/anthropics-clark-says-ais-impact-accelerating-quickly-could-vastly-boost-us-gdp-2026-10-17/). This article compiles public information and is not investment advice.

From HIMIAO Horizon · himiao.ai

ANTHROPICJACK CLARKGDP

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